How It Works

Energy markets are complex, volatile, and often opaque. Noreva makes them predictable and transparent by combining transaction based insights, regulatory signals, and AI-powered modeling into a single, unified system. Our approach turns uncertainty into clarity you can act on.

The Noreva Approach

At its core, Noreva integrates three essential building blocks. The result is a single source of transaction information for energy transition commodities, enabling faster decisions, bankable assumptions, and a level of foresight rarely available in such fragmented markets.

Real Market Activity

Captured from actual transactions, not just indicative quotes

Policy Drivers

Compliance frameworks that shape market structures and obligations

AI-powered Modeling

Transforms raw data into forward-looking insights

Step 1: Data Foundation – Trading, Policy, and Fundamentals

Everything starts with a robust, transparent data layer. We pull information directly from where it matters: traded markets, system operators, and regulatory bodies. Every data point carries explicit locational spreads (ISO, hub, node, or jurisdiction), ensuring context and comparability across markets.

This foundation is what gives our models both credibility and precision. Without it, forecasts are just speculation. With it, they become a reliable guide for valuation, hedging, and compliance strategies.

Market Data

We capture and structure multiple layers of market intelligence:

  • Pricing: daily, transaction-based price signals that reflect true market levels.
  • Forward curves: near- and medium-term price strips derived from real transactional insights.
  • Merchant curves: long-term modeled forecasts extending beyond traded horizons, integrating policy, fundamentals, and scenario analysis.

Together, these curves provide a continuous view from short-term liquidity to long-term value — essential for trading, valuation, and financing decisions.

In addition to datasets, Noreva delivers market data through flexible feeds – API, CSV, and portal dashboards – making it simple to plug directly into trading models, risk systems, or compliance workflows.

Policy & Compliance Signals

Markets are not just shaped by trades—they’re reshaped daily by rules and regulations. Noreva continuously tracks:

  • Regulatory updates: filings, rulemakings, and compliance requirements that affect pricing and resource availability.
  • Auction calendars: dates, qualification criteria, and clearing methodologies.
  • Carbon and REC methodologies: shifts in crediting, reporting, and verification standards.

By weaving these signals into our models, we provide a forward lens that anticipates structural changes before they hit the market.

Step 2: Forecast Engine – Short- and Long-Term Scenarios

At the core of Noreva is an AI-powered modeling engine that transforms real market activity into foresight. By combining transactional data, policy frameworks, and scenario modeling, the platform delivers both near-term precision and long-term credibility — bridging today’s liquidity with tomorrow’s strategy.

Near-Term Visibility

Noreva’s short-term forecasts form the front end of the merchant curve, typically covering the first one to five years of the horizon.

Noreva merchant curves are anchored in real transactional insights and liquidity signals, capturing what is truly happening in the market – from supply-demand balances to congestion spreads, bidding behavior and locational pricing.

Long-Term Credibility

For forward horizons extending beyond widely traded windows, Noreva applies policy-aligned scenario modeling grounded in transparent data and indications on regulation, capacity evolution, and carbon policies.

Each scenario — base, low, and high — provides a defensible long-term view that boards, lenders, and investors can trust.

The result is a continuous, reality-anchored merchant curve that connects short-term liquidity to long-term value.

Step 3: Client Outcomes – Finance, Hedge, Optimize

Noreva’s value crystallizes in how clients apply the outputs. From daily trading desks to board-level planning, the results support:

  • Valuation: Bankable inputs for asset pricing and financing.
  • Hedging: Informed strategies to protect margins against unmanaged volatility.
  • Procurement: Smarter contracting and RFP structuring and timing.
  • Compliance: Staying aligned with evolving adequacy, REC, and carbon emissions rules.

Beyond data delivery, Noreva provides consulting support for capacity auction strategy, asset valuation, PPA and tolling pricing, and compliance planning. These services help clients apply our datasets directly to board-level strategic and investment decisions.

Customization & Flexibility

With Noreva, Clients can collaborate with our team of market experts to enhance custom pricing models, in ways that align with their own market realities and assumptions. Model assumptions can be adjusted, stress-tested and rerun to mirror your firm’s internal strategy and investigate multiple potential outcomes.

Customized models are delivered directly via CSV exports, enabling integration into your valuation, trading and compliance systems.

Consulting & Tailored Solutions

Noreva goes beyond data and forecasts with consulting services and bespoke solutions that adapt to each client’s needs. Our experts combine research-backed guidance with real trading insights to deliver actionable strategies:

  • Navigate complex markets – Identify opportunities and risks in power, capacity, RECs, and renewable fuels.
  • Optimize revenues – Unlock hidden margins and strengthen asset positioning with tailored procurement and hedging strategies.
  • Validate assumptions – Build board- and lender-ready cases with comprehensive, customizable analysis.
  • Custom engagements – From bespoke market studies to custom model builds, our consulting adapts to your unique workflow.

With Noreva, clients benefit from combining a unified data modeling stack with the flexibility of tailored solutions, ensuring every decision is grounded in both robust data and strategic foresight.

Why It Works

In markets defined by volatility and opacity, clarity becomes a competitive edge. Noreva succeeds because it offers a single source of truth, combining market integrity, regulatory awareness, and AI foresight. The result: decision-making that is faster, more profitable, and grounded in reality.

See the market. Price the future. 

See the market. Price the future. 

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Next Step: See It in Action

Ready to see Noreva in your workflow? Book a Demo: Explore the forecast engine live and test market scenarios.